Will the FDP (Freie Demokratische Partei) poll at 5% or higher in the next INSA 'Sonntagsfrage' for BILD?
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About this market
Exact market question
Will the FDP (Freie Demokratische Partei) poll at 5% or higher in the next INSA 'Sonntagsfrage' for BILD?
Background
As national political tensions rise, the FDP has been hovering near the critical 5% threshold required to enter the Bundestag. The upcoming INSA opinion poll, typically published by BILD on Mondays or Tuesdays, will indicate if the party is regaining momentum or facing an existential threat. This market resolves YES if the FDP is shown at 5.0% or higher in the first INSA poll released after August 26.
How it settles
This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.
Open official sourceTie, draw, or no clear result
Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.
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