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Will the upcoming ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for September 2026 show a value of 20.0 or higher?

44%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 44%NO 56%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 44% Yes0 pts range
Open
44%
Low
44%
High
44%
Now
44%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 44%
Sep 5Sep 12

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
2d left
Closes
Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Sep 15, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will the upcoming ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for September 2026 show a value of 20.0 or higher?

Background

The ZEW Indicator is a major lead indicator for the German economy, reflecting the sentiment of institutional investors and analysts. Following a period of stagnation in the industrial sector, markets are watching for signs of recovery. A reading of 20.0 or higher would signal a significant shift toward optimism regarding Germany's economic performance over the next six months.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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