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Will the Haryana State Election Commission officially announce the polling dates for the 2026 Haryana Legislative Assembly elections by September 12, 2026?

72%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 72%NO 28%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 72% Yes0 pts range
Open
72%
Low
72%
High
72%
Now
72%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 72%
Aug 28Sep 4

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
7d left
Closes
Sep 12, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Sep 12, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will the Haryana State Election Commission officially announce the polling dates for the 2026 Haryana Legislative Assembly elections by September 12, 2026?

Background

The term of the current Haryana Legislative Assembly is set to expire in late 2026, leading to intense political activity in the state. Historically, the Election Commission of India announces the schedule several weeks in advance to allow for the Model Code of Conduct. Locals are closely watching for the formal notification to begin the final phase of campaigning.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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