Will the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) report that UK GDP grew by 0.3% or more in the 'GDP monthly estimate' released on September 11, 2026?
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About this market
Exact market question
Will the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) report that UK GDP grew by 0.3% or more in the 'GDP monthly estimate' released on September 11, 2026?
Background
Following a period of sluggish growth, economists are closely watching the July 2026 output data for signs of a 'summer bounce' in the service sector. This report is the primary indicator of whether the UK economy is gaining momentum heading into the final quarter. The market resolves YES if the 'Month-on-Month' percentage change is 0.3% or higher.
How it settles
This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.
Open official sourceTie, draw, or no clear result
Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.
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