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Will the average house price in the United Kingdom exceed £295,000 in the Nationwide House Price Index for August 2026?

62%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 62%NO 38%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 62% Yes0 pts range
Open
62%
Low
62%
High
62%
Now
62%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 62%
Aug 17Aug 24

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
3d left
Closes
Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Aug 28, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will the average house price in the United Kingdom exceed £295,000 in the Nationwide House Price Index for August 2026?

Background

The UK property market is currently navigating a period of stabilizing mortgage rates and fluctuating inventory. Nationwide's monthly index is a primary benchmark for the health of the British housing sector and is widely reported across national media. This resolves YES if the 'seasonally adjusted' average price reported by Nationwide for August 2026 is £295,001 or higher.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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