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Will the Munich Oktoberfest 2026 'Maß' price be officially announced to exceed 16.00 Euro for any tent?

68%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 68%NO 32%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 68% Yes0 pts range
Open
68%
Low
68%
High
68%
Now
68%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 68%
Aug 16Aug 23

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
17d left
Closes
Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Sep 10, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will the Munich Oktoberfest 2026 'Maß' price be officially announced to exceed 16.00 Euro for any tent?

Background

The price of a liter of beer (Maß) at Oktoberfest is a major cultural and economic talking point in Bavaria every year. As inflation impacts brewery costs and staff wages, prices have been steadily rising toward the 16-euro mark. The resolution depends on the official price list released by the City of Munich (Referat für Arbeit und Wirtschaft).

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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