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Will the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announce a cut in the Repo Rate in its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting?

58%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 58%NO 42%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 58% Yes0 pts range
Open
58%
Low
58%
High
58%
Now
58%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 58%
Aug 27Sep 3

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No recorded movement yet. Showing current odds until the market trades.

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
4d left
Closes
Sep 8, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Sep 8, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announce a cut in the Repo Rate in its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting?

Background

Economists are debating whether cooling retail inflation will finally prompt the RBI to shift from its 'withdrawal of accommodation' stance to a rate cut. With global central banks potentially easing, pressure is mounting on the MPC to support growth. The market resolves YES if the official RBI press release following the September meeting confirms a reduction in the benchmark repo rate.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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