Will the UK Chancellor announce a targeted increase to Capital Gains Tax in the upcoming Autumn Budget preview on September 10, 2026?
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About this market
Exact market question
Will the UK Chancellor announce a targeted increase to Capital Gains Tax in the upcoming Autumn Budget preview on September 10, 2026?
Background
Speculation is mounting in Westminster regarding the Treasury's 'fiscal black hole.' As the government prepares for the full Autumn Budget, an early Treasury update or 'preview' statement is expected to signal shifts in tax policy. This market resolves YES if a formal announcement of a planned Capital Gains Tax rate increase is made by the Treasury or Chancellor by the end of September 10.
How it settles
This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.
Open official sourceTie, draw, or no clear result
Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.
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