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Will Canada's real GDP per capita show a quarter-over-quarter increase in the Q2 2026 report?

42%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 42%NO 58%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 42% Yes0 pts range
Open
42%
Low
42%
High
42%
Now
42%
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YES odds chart ending at 42%
Aug 17Aug 24

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
6d left
Closes
Aug 31, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Aug 31, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will Canada's real GDP per capita show a quarter-over-quarter increase in the Q2 2026 report?

Background

As of July 1, 2026, concerns over the housing crisis and cost of living continue to dominate economic discourse under the hashtag #boomandbust. While overall GDP has seen marginal growth, the per capita metric has been stagnant or declining for several quarters, sparking a national debate on productivity and immigration levels. This market resolves to YES if the Statistics Canada release for Q2 2026 indicates any positive percentage change (0.1% or higher) in real GDP per capita.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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