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Will the UK Department for Education announce a formal ban on smartphone use in all secondary schools by September 12, 2026?

42%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 42%NO 58%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 42% Yes0 pts range
Open
42%
Low
42%
High
42%
Now
42%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 42%
Aug 28Sep 4

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No recorded movement yet. Showing current odds until the market trades.

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
6d left
Closes
Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Sep 11, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will the UK Department for Education announce a formal ban on smartphone use in all secondary schools by September 12, 2026?

Background

Following the 2024 guidance and ongoing pressure from parent groups and unions, the government is debating moving from guidance to a statutory ban to improve concentration and mental health. The resolution depends on an official announcement or policy white paper from the Department for Education or the Secretary of State. This is trending as the new school year begins across England and Wales.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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