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Will the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy announce a decrease in the retail price of 95-grade petrol for September 2026?

48%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 48%NO 52%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 48% Yes0 pts range
Open
48%
Low
48%
High
48%
Now
48%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 48%
Aug 20Aug 27

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
4d left
Closes
Sep 1, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Sep 1, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy announce a decrease in the retail price of 95-grade petrol for September 2026?

Background

The monthly fuel price adjustment is a major economic driver for South African households and the transport sector. Recent fluctuations in the global price of Brent Crude and the Rand/USD exchange rate have made the upcoming September announcement highly uncertain. A YES outcome is achieved if the official per-liter price announced for the first Wednesday of September is lower than the August price.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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