Back to Marketsscience-space

Will the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) officially announce a specific launch date for the Gaganyaan-1 (G1) mission by September 25, 2026?

82%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 82%NO 18%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 82% Yes0 pts range
Open
82%
Low
82%
High
82%
Now
82%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 82%
Sep 2Sep 9

Drag left or right to inspect · swipe up or down to scroll the page

No recorded movement yet. Showing current odds until the market trades.

Up Down
Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
15d left
Closes
Sep 25, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Sep 25, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) officially announce a specific launch date for the Gaganyaan-1 (G1) mission by September 25, 2026?

Background

As India approaches the final stages of its human spaceflight program, the G1 uncrewed test flight is the critical next milestone. Recent updates from ISRO suggest that technical preparations are nearing completion, but a specific calendar date for the launch remains a subject of intense public speculation. The market resolves YES if an official ISRO press release or the ISRO Chairman announces a calendar date for the G1 launch by the deadline.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

Recent Live activity

Loading…

Finding current context…

Invite friends to this prediction

WhatsApp Text

Discussion

Share your reasoning, compare perspectives, and revisit the result together.

Sign in to join the discussion

No comments yet. Be the first to call it.