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Will the West Bengal government officially declare the 'Maha Panchami' of Durga Puja as a full public holiday for state employees by September 15, 2026?

58%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 58%NO 42%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 58% Yes0 pts range
Open
58%
Low
58%
High
58%
Now
58%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 58%
Aug 29Sep 5

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
9d left
Closes
Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Sep 15, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will the West Bengal government officially declare the 'Maha Panchami' of Durga Puja as a full public holiday for state employees by September 15, 2026?

Background

Durga Puja 2026 is approaching, and there is significant local interest in the official holiday calendar for the state's biggest festival. Historically, the West Bengal government expands holiday lists closer to the event, and residents are debating if the holiday will start earlier this year on Panchami. The market resolves YES if the state finance department or CM's office issues a notification by the deadline.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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