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Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

3%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 3%NO 97%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 3% Yes0 pts range
Open
3%
Low
3%
High
3%
Now
3%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 3%
Aug 16Aug 23

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No recorded movement yet. Showing current odds until the market trades.

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
129d left
Closes
Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Dec 31, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Background

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Live on Polymarket — volume $990,809.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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