Will the AfD become the strongest party in the 2026 Saxony State Election according to the preliminary official results?
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Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.
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About this market
Exact market question
Will the AfD become the strongest party in the 2026 Saxony State Election according to the preliminary official results?
Background
The Free State of Saxony is heading to the polls on August 30, 2026. Current polling shows a tight neck-and-neck race between the incumbent CDU and the AfD, which has seen surging popularity in eastern Germany. This market resolves to YES if the AfD receives the highest percentage of second votes (Zweitstimmen) in the preliminary results released by the State Returning Officer.
How it settles
This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.
Open official sourceTie, draw, or no clear result
Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.
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