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Will 'House of the Dragon' Season 3 viewership for its next episode exceed 10 million viewers?

35%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 35%NO 65%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 35% Yes0 pts range
Open
35%
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35%
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35%
Now
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YES odds chart ending at 35%
Jul 22Jul 29

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Closes
Jul 8, 12:00 AM UTC
Pending settlement
Settlement
Target passed Jul 8, 01:00 AM UTC - hourly review continues

Target passed Jul 8, 01:00 AM UTC - hourly review continues

The review target has passed. Automatic checks continue hourly; conflicting or ambiguous evidence may also require a human reviewer.

Your payout or refund stays locked until the final result is confirmed. We will notify you when credits become available.

About this market

Exact market question

Will 'House of the Dragon' Season 3 viewership for its next episode exceed 10 million viewers?

Background

The middle of the season is seeing peak social media engagement regarding the 'Dance of the Dragons.' Market interest is high on whether HBO can maintain the momentum of the season premiere. This resolves YES if HBO officially releases data through Warner Bros Discovery or Nielsen reporting over 10M across linear and Max platforms for Episode 4.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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