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Will over 1.3 million peak-time viewers watch the 2026 Community Shield match between Manchester City and Manchester United on ITV1?

50%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 50%NO 50%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 50% Yes0 pts range
Open
50%
Low
50%
High
50%
Now
50%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 50%
Jul 22Jul 29

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No recorded movement yet. Showing current odds until the market trades.

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
10d left
Closes
Aug 9, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Aug 9, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will over 1.3 million peak-time viewers watch the 2026 Community Shield match between Manchester City and Manchester United on ITV1?

Background

The 2026 FA Community Shield features a high-profile Manchester Derby at Wembley on August 10, serving as the traditional curtain-raiser for the English football season. Historically, derbies drive significant domestic TV ratings, but mid-August holidays can impact live terrestrial viewership numbers. This will be resolved YES if the official BARB (Broadcasters' Audience Research Board) overnight peak data for ITV1 exceeds 1.3 million viewers.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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