Will the City of Cape Town officially maintain a 'Level 0' (no water restrictions) status through August 5, 2026?
Fully refundable
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About this market
Exact market question
Will the City of Cape Town officially maintain a 'Level 0' (no water restrictions) status through August 5, 2026?
Background
Despite the winter rainfall season, the City of Cape Town closely monitors dam levels and consumption to determine water restriction levels. While dam levels often peak in July, any significant rainfall deficit or infrastructure issues could trigger a shift from the current 'no restriction' status. The market resolves to YES if the City's official website or media office reports that no mandatory water restrictions are in effect for the metro area on the target date.
How it settles
This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.
Open official sourceTie, draw, or no clear result
Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.
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