Fully refundable
Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.
Live odds movement
YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.
Drag left or right to inspect · swipe up or down to scroll the page
No recorded movement yet. Showing current odds until the market trades.
Target passed Jul 6, 11:00 AM UTC - hourly review continues
The review target has passed. Automatic checks continue hourly; conflicting or ambiguous evidence may also require a human reviewer.
Your payout or refund stays locked until the final result is confirmed. We will notify you when credits become available.
About this market
Exact market question
Set 4 Winner: Tiafoe vs Atmane
Background
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Terence Atmane in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Tiafoe” if Frances Tiafoe wins set 4. It will resolve to “Atmane” if Terence Atmane wins set 4. If the match begins but set 4 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Outcomes: Tiafoe / Atmane. Live on Polymarket — volume $9,973.
How it settles
This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.
Open official sourceTie, draw, or no clear result
Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.
Recent Live activity
Loading…
Discussion
Share your reasoning, compare perspectives, and revisit the result together.
Sign in to join the discussionNo comments yet. Be the first to call it.