Will the India Meteorological Department (IMD) issue a 'Red Alert' for extremely heavy rainfall in any district of Kerala for the period August 1 to August 7, 2026?
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About this market
Exact market question
Will the India Meteorological Department (IMD) issue a 'Red Alert' for extremely heavy rainfall in any district of Kerala for the period August 1 to August 7, 2026?
Background
The Southwest Monsoon typically peaks in intensity across the Western Ghats during late July and early August. Kerala often faces severe weather warnings during this window, leading to significant administrative preparation and public concern regarding flooding and landslides. The market resolves YES if the IMD's daily bulletin for Kerala includes a Red Alert (rainfall > 204.4 mm) for any district during the specified week.
How it settles
This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.
Open official sourceTie, draw, or no clear result
Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.
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