Will the Met Office record a maximum temperature of 32.0°C or higher in Greater London during the weekend of August 8-9, 2026?
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About this market
Exact market question
Will the Met Office record a maximum temperature of 32.0°C or higher in Greater London during the weekend of August 8-9, 2026?
Background
August heatwaves are a recurring concern in the UK, often leading to health alerts and travel disruptions. Current long-range forecasts suggest a high-pressure system could move over the South East during this specific weekend. This market resolves to YES if any official Met Office weather station within the Greater London boundary records a temperature of at least 32.0°C between 00:00 on August 8 and 23:59 on August 9.
How it settles
This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.
Open official sourceTie, draw, or no clear result
Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.
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