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Will the S&P 500 close above 5,800 points on July 10th, 2026?

68%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 68%NO 32%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 68% Yes0 pts range
Open
68%
Low
68%
High
68%
Now
68%
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YES odds chart ending at 68%
Jul 22Jul 29

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No recorded movement yet. Showing current odds until the market trades.

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
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Volume
Closed
Closes
Jul 10, 12:00 AM UTC
Pending settlement
Settlement
Target passed Jul 10, 01:00 AM UTC - hourly review continues

Target passed Jul 10, 01:00 AM UTC - hourly review continues

The review target has passed. Automatic checks continue hourly; conflicting or ambiguous evidence may also require a human reviewer.

Your payout or refund stays locked until the final result is confirmed. We will notify you when credits become available.

About this market

Exact market question

Will the S&P 500 close above 5,800 points on July 10th, 2026?

Background

Markets are volatile following the Fed's mid-year policy meeting and Q2 earnings previews. Investors are searching for 'Stock Market Forecast July' as a cooling labor market clashes with high tech valuations. Resolution is based on the official market close price reported by the NYSE on July 10.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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