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Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on July 1?

2%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 2%NO 98%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 2% Yes0 pts range
Open
2%
Low
2%
High
2%
Now
2%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 2%
Jul 22Jul 29

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No recorded movement yet. Showing current odds until the market trades.

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
Closed
Closes
Jul 2, 04:00 AM UTC
Pending settlement
Settlement
Target passed Jul 2, 05:00 AM UTC - hourly review continues

Target passed Jul 2, 05:00 AM UTC - hourly review continues

The review target has passed. Automatic checks continue hourly; conflicting or ambiguous evidence may also require a human reviewer.

Your payout or refund stays locked until the final result is confirmed. We will notify you when credits become available.

About this market

Exact market question

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on July 1?

Background

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Live on Polymarket — volume $99,681.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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