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Will Chelsea FC complete the transfer of Victor Osimhen from Napoli before the end of July 2026?

62%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 62%NO 38%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 62% Yes0 pts range
Open
62%
Low
62%
High
62%
Now
62%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 62%
Jul 22Jul 29

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
21h left
Closes
Jul 30, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Jul 30, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will Chelsea FC complete the transfer of Victor Osimhen from Napoli before the end of July 2026?

Background

Transfer rumors involving Chelsea and the Nigerian striker have reached a fever pitch in late July as the Premier League season approaches. Negotiations over wage structures and release clauses are reportedly in the final stages. This market resolves as YES if Chelsea FC or a major sports outlet (BBC Sport/Sky Sports) confirms the permanent or loan signing by midnight on July 31.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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