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Will the City of Johannesburg's 'Joburg Water' report a storage level below 40% for the Commando System reservoirs on August 5, 2026?

58%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 58%NO 42%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 58% Yes0 pts range
Open
58%
Low
58%
High
58%
Now
58%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 58%
Jul 22Jul 29

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
5d left
Closes
Aug 4, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Aug 4, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will the City of Johannesburg's 'Joburg Water' report a storage level below 40% for the Commando System reservoirs on August 5, 2026?

Background

The Commando System (including Brixton, Hursthill, and Crosby) is critical for water supply in Johannesburg and has faced chronic instability due to aging infrastructure and high demand. Winter in the highveld often exacerbates these shortages due to lower replenishment and high evaporation. This market resolves based on the official daily system status report published by the City of Johannesburg or Joburg Water.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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