Back to Marketsenvironment

Will Cape Town's average dam levels be reported above 85% in the first weekly report of August 2026?

64%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 64%NO 36%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 64% Yes0 pts range
Open
64%
Low
64%
High
64%
Now
64%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 64%
Jul 22Jul 29

Drag left or right to inspect · swipe up or down to scroll the page

No recorded movement yet. Showing current odds until the market trades.

Up Down
Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
3d left
Closes
Aug 2, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Aug 2, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will Cape Town's average dam levels be reported above 85% in the first weekly report of August 2026?

Background

Western Cape dam levels are a critical metric for water security following previous 'Day Zero' scares. Winter rainfall in July heavily dictates the storage levels moving into the dryer months. The market resolves based on the City of Cape Town’s official weekly 'Dam Levels' report.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

Recent Live activity

Loading…

Finding current context…

Invite friends to this prediction

WhatsApp Text

Discussion

Share your reasoning, compare perspectives, and revisit the result together.

Sign in to join the discussion

No comments yet. Be the first to call it.