Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?
Fully refundable
Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.
Live odds movement
YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.
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Target passed Jul 3, 05:00 PM UTC - hourly review continues
The review target has passed. Automatic checks continue hourly; conflicting or ambiguous evidence may also require a human reviewer.
Your payout or refund stays locked until the final result is confirmed. We will notify you when credits become available.
About this market
Exact market question
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?
Background
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Live on Polymarket — volume $991.
How it settles
This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.
Open official sourceTie, draw, or no clear result
Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.
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