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Will a major UK bank announce a native stablecoin by August 1, 2026?

68%
opening odds · YesAI opening line
YES 68%NO 32%

Fully refundable

Money backOpening P2P pool: the first stake is refundable until another user takes the opposite side. Real profit estimates appear once both pools have money.

Live odds movement

YES probability over time · green segments moved up, red segments moved down.

Now 68% Yes0 pts range
Open
68%
Low
68%
High
68%
Now
68%
100%50%0%
YES odds chart ending at 68%
Jul 22Jul 29

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No recorded movement yet. Showing current odds until the market trades.

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Awaiting the other side · fully refundable
New
Volume
2d left
Closes
Aug 1, 12:00 AM UTC
After close
Settlement
Target Aug 1, 01:00 AM UTC

About this market

Exact market question

Will a major UK bank announce a native stablecoin by August 1, 2026?

Background

Following the UK's 'Digital Asset Bill' passing earlier this year, rumors are swirling that HSBC or Barclays will launch a sterling-backed stablecoin. Searches for 'Digital Pound' and 'Retail Stablecoin' are rising. Resolution is an official press release from any of the 'Big Four' UK banks.

How it settles

This legacy market has no separate published settlement rule. It cannot settle automatically unless objective evidence clearly maps the result to YES or NO.

Open official source

Tie, draw, or no clear result

Published settlement criteria come first. An uncovered tie, draw, cancellation, or other result is not assigned YES or NO by default; it is reviewed against the question and objective evidence. If no fair mapping can be established, the market may be voided and all stakes refunded in full with no fee.

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